Frank Mir vs Roy Nelson
The interesting fight of Frank Mir vs Roy Nelson is one of the most interesting fights on the UFC 130 card. I find this fight so very difficult to predict.
This is because their skills are so similar. So what is the key to this fight? In my mind, the key for Roy Nelson is to keep the fight standing, if the fight goes to the ground I see that Frank Mir has the advantage. They are both extremely good BJJ fighters, however, I see that Roy Nelson is better – that is how I can justify the statement.
Frank Mir is coming off the win over Cro Cop, which is nothing to brag about. Usually when you come off a win against such a legend, then there a lot of momentum backing the fighter, however, this does not feel like the case in this instance. Although Frank Mir won the fight against cro cop a lof people felt as if it was not a good fight. In fact, Dana White and Joe Silva (UFC match maker) were not impressed by his performance.
Then you have Roy Nelson that is coming of a loss against Junior Dos Santos, now, usually when a fighter is coming off a loss their is a loss in moment. However, I feel that the JDS fight increase Roy Nelson’s moment, such that he was able to take a massive beating, by one of the best HW in the sport and still was not able to get knocked out. I feel that this won Roy Nelson a lot of fans.
This is what makes the match so hard to predict.
I feel that Frank Mir’s size will play a massive role in this fight, Roy Nelson is often the subject of jokes for his fat belly, however, what people over look is the way he uses it. He often uses it to pin down an opponent, so much so that he cannot move. I feel that if Mir gets caught underneath that fat gut, then all the BJJ in the world cannot save you.
My prediction
At the last check of the odds, Frank Mir was showing to be the odds on favourite. However, my gut feeling is telling me that the favourite for this fight will be Roy Nelson. I think that Nelson will win by knock out.
The way I see the fight going is that there will be a lot of grappling early in the fight, however, as the fight progresses both fighters will tire and eventually Roy Nelson will land one of those heave right hands that one him the Ultimate Fighter contest.
The only way I see that Frank Mir winning this fight is by decision, I cannot see him being able to submit Roy Nelson or knock him out. heck if JDS could not know out Roy Nelson, then I do not see Frank Mir being able to do that.
To conclude, if Roy Nelson can win this fight, it will be huge for his career. If Frank Mir can win, well it will keep his career going so that he may fight another day.
Tags: Big Country, Frank Mir vs Roy Nelson, Mir vs Nelson, Nelson vs Mir, Roy Nelson vs Frank Mir